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Finland · Veikkausliiga

26 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

KUPS vs HJK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: HJK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Otto Ruoppi — KuPS

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mads Borchers — HJK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 148 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 114 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
34 predictions
Both teams to score 30% (Weak)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
95 predictions

Match overview