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Finland · Veikkausliiga

25 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

FC LAHTI vs AC OULU

Final 2:1

FC Lahti won Last goal: AC Oulu

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martim Ferreira — FC Lahti
  2. ⚽ Neemias Barbosa — FC Lahti

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Julius Koerkkoe — AC Oulu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Lahti
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 146 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 112 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 55% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
33 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
102 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
93 predictions

Match overview