← Back to matches

Finland · Veikkausliiga

24 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

SJK vs FF JARO

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: SJK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luca Weckstroem — FF Jaro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jeremiah Streng — SJK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
SJK
90-minute result: Draw
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
59%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
59%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
59%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 143 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 109 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 31% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 11% (Weak)
9 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
90 predictions

Match overview