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Finland · Veikkausliiga

22 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

KUPS vs AC OULU

Final 3:2

KuPS won Last goal: KuPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bob Nii Armah — KuPS
  2. ⚽ Rasmus Karjalainen (penalty) — AC Oulu

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jaime Moreno — KuPS
  2. ⚽ Rasmus Karjalainen — AC Oulu
  3. ⚽ Otto Ruoppi — KuPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
AC Oulu
90-minute result: KuPS
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 142 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 108 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
75 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
99 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
70 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
89 predictions

Match overview