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Scotland · League One

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

EAST FIFE vs INVERNESS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Inverness

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Michael McKenna — East Fife
  2. ⚽ Billy Mckay — Inverness

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Inverness
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview