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Scotland · League One

18 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

INVERNESS vs KELTY HEARTS

Final 1:0

Inverness won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alex Ferguson — Inverness

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Kelty Hearts
90-minute result: Inverness
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 156 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
88 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
19 predictions

Match overview