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Scotland · League One

18 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

ALLOA ATHLETIC vs EAST FIFE

Final 2:0

Alloa Athletic won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Calum Waters — Alloa Athletic

2nd half

  1. Luke Donnelly — Alloa Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 156 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
62 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
116 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
146 predictions

Match overview