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Scotland · League One

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

HAMILTON ACADEMICAL vs PETERHEAD

Final 3:1

Hamilton Academical won Last goal: Peterhead

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Oliver Shaw — Hamilton Academical

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kevin O'Hara — Hamilton Academical
  2. ⚽ Ewan Simpson — Hamilton Academical
  3. ⚽ Jack Brown — Peterhead

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Hamilton Academical
90-minute result: Hamilton Academical
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
64 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
26 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview