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Scotland · League One

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ALLOA ATHLETIC vs QUEEN OF THE SOUTH

Final 1:4

Queen of the South won Last goal: Queen of the South

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Brennan Dickenson — Queen of the South
  2. ⚽ Kalvin Orsi — Alloa Athletic

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicky Clark — Queen of the South
  2. ⚽ Nicky Clark — Queen of the South
  3. ⚽ Liam Smith — Queen of the South

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Queen of the South
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 166 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 175 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
50 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
109 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
153 predictions

Match overview