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England · League Two

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

CHESTERFIELD vs CREWE

Final 2:0

Top match Chesterfield won Last goal: Chesterfield

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lee Bonis · assist Dilan Markanday — Chesterfield

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lee Bonis · assist Liam Mandeville — Chesterfield

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Chesterfield
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 181 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 517 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 516 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 85 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
146 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
288 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
405 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
258 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
389 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
464 predictions

Match overview