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England · League Two

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

BARNET vs GILLINGHAM

Final 6:2

Top match Barnet won Last goal: Gillingham

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Callum Stead · assist Ryan Glover — Barnet
  2. Sullivan Booth · assist Bradley Dack — Gillingham
  3. Callum Stead · assist Kabongo Tshimanga — Barnet
  4. Callum Stead · assist Romoney Crichlow-Noble — Barnet
  5. Callum Stead — Barnet
  6. Romoney Crichlow-Noble · assist Ryan Glover — Barnet

2nd half

  1. Callum Stead · assist Kane Smith — Barnet
  2. Josh Andrews · assist Sullivan Booth — Gillingham

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 114 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 517 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 516 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
370 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
228 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
258 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
389 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
464 predictions

Match overview