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England · League Two

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

CAMBRIDGE U vs BARROW

Final 3:0

Top match Cambridge U won Last goal: Cambridge U

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ben Knight · assist Liam Bennett — Cambridge U

2nd half

  1. James Gibbons · assist Dominic Ball — Cambridge U
  2. Wyll Stanway (own goal) — Cambridge U

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 79 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 517 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 516 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
370 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
288 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
405 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
258 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
52 predictions

Match overview