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Italy · Serie A

18 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

UDINESE vs PARMA CALCIO 1913

Final 0:1

Parma Calcio 1913 won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nesta Elphege — Parma Calcio 1913

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
35%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Parma Calcio 1913
No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 322 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 320 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 13% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
297 predictions

Match overview