Italy — Serie A

Sample size: 452 matches

Accuracy by market

Weak
49%
Both teams to score

Historical hit rate on both teams to score picks in this league.

Good
61%
Total 1.5

Historical hit rate on Total 1.5 picks in this league.

Weak
53%
Total 2.5

Historical hit rate on Total 2.5 picks in this league.

Good
65%
Total 3.5

Historical hit rate on Total 3.5 picks in this league.

Strong
84%
Total 4.5

Historical hit rate on Total 4.5 picks in this league.

Weak
9%
Exact score

Historical hit rate on exact scoreline picks in this league.

Totals: Over vs Under

Market Over (n) Over acc % Under (n) Under acc %
1.5 338 71.0% 114 31.6%
2.5 183 48.1% 269 56.1%
3.5 82 17.1% 370 76.0%
4.5 34 5.9% 418 90.4%

Underdog vs Favorite (1X2)

Only home/away picks with odds; underdog = higher decimal odds.

Favorite picks

Hit rate:
55.0% N=180
Avg odds:
1.85
ROI (1u):
-3.2%

Underdog picks

Pick rate:
29.4%
Hit rate:
20.0% N=75
Avg odds:
4.84
ROI (1u):
-26.2%

Underdog is defined by stored odds (may not be closing odds).

League matches

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