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Netherlands · KNVB Cup

14 Jan 2026 17:45 UTC

FC DEN BOSCH vs PSV EINDHOVEN

Final 1:4

PSV Eindhoven won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Couhaib Driouech — PSV Eindhoven
  2. ⚽ Dennis Man — PSV Eindhoven
  3. ⚽ Esmir Bajraktarevic — PSV Eindhoven
  4. ⚽ Couhaib Driouech — PSV Eindhoven

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Danny Verbeek — FC Den Bosch

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
PSV Eindhoven
90-minute result: PSV Eindhoven
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 43 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 43 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 44% (Weak)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview