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International · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

10 Jan 2026 16:00 UTC

ALGERIA vs NIGERIA

Final 0:2

Top match Nigeria won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Victor Osimhen — Nigeria
  2. ⚽ Akor Adams — Nigeria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Nigeria
90-minute result: Nigeria
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 42 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 32 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
28 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 26% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)

Match overview