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International · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

06 Jan 2026 16:00 UTC

ALGERIA vs DR CONGO

Final 1:0

Top match Draw

Match timeline

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Adil Boulbina — Algeria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
DR Congo
90-minute result: Draw
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 38 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 28 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
24 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
28 predictions

Match overview