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International · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

06 Jan 2026 19:00 UTC

IVORY COAST vs BURKINA FASO

Final 3:0

Top match Ivory Coast won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Amad Diallo — Ivory Coast
  2. ⚽ Yan Diomande — Ivory Coast

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bazoumana Touré — Ivory Coast

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Burkina Faso
90-minute result: Ivory Coast
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 38 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 28 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
24 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
17 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
28 predictions

Match overview