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International · Africa Cup of Nations · Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

14 Jan 2026 20:00 UTC

NIGERIA vs MOROCCO

Final 0:0

Top match Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Morocco
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 44 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 34 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 13% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
30 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
30 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
33 predictions

Match overview