Italy — Serie A

Sample size: 40 matches

Accuracy by market

Risky
38%
Both teams to score

Historical hit rate on both teams to score picks in this league.

Weak
50%
Total 1.5

Historical hit rate on Total 1.5 picks in this league.

Risky
43%
Total 2.5

Historical hit rate on Total 2.5 picks in this league.

Good
60%
Total 3.5

Historical hit rate on Total 3.5 picks in this league.

Strong
75%
Total 4.5

Historical hit rate on Total 4.5 picks in this league.

Weak
10%
Exact score

Historical hit rate on exact scoreline picks in this league.

Totals: Over vs Under

Market Over (n) Over acc % Under (n) Under acc %
1.5 30 63.3% 10 10.0%
2.5 19 36.8% 21 47.6%
3.5 10 10.0% 30 76.7%
4.5 4 0.0% 36 83.3%

Underdog vs Favorite (1X2)

Only home/away picks with odds; underdog = higher decimal odds.

Favorite picks

Hit rate:
45.5% N=11
Avg odds:
1.70
ROI (1u):
-27.6%

Underdog picks

Pick rate:
45.0%
Hit rate:
22.2% N=9
Avg odds:
3.61
ROI (1u):
-37.8%

Underdog is defined by stored odds (may not be closing odds).

League matches

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