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Italy · Serie A

24 May 2026 18:45 UTC

CREMONESE vs COMO

Final 1:4

Como won Last goal: Como

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jesús Rodríguez — Como

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tasos Douvikas · assist Jesús Rodríguez — Como
  2. ⚽ Federico Bonazzoli (penalty) — Cremonese
  3. 🟥 Milan Djuric (straight red) — Cremonese
  4. 🟥 Alberto Grassi (straight red) — Cremonese
  5. 🟥 David Okereke (straight red) — Cremonese
  6. ⚽ Lucas da Cunha (penalty) — Como
  7. ⚽ Lucas da Cunha · assist Maxence Caqueret — Como

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
49%
1X2
Como
90-minute result: Como
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
64%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 373 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 371 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
279 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
190 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
220 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
308 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
342 predictions

Match overview