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El Salvador · Primera Division · Apertura

30 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

FIRPO vs FUERTE SAN FRANCISCO

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
Firpo
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
8%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 282 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 326 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 106 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
226 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
299 predictions

Match preview