INCA ARUBA vs ALIANZA FC
Final 1:3
Alianza FC won
Last goal: Alianza FC
Match timeline
1st half
- Noel Rivera — Alianza FC
2nd half
- Brayan Paz (penalty) — Inca Aruba
- Gustavo Moura — Alianza FC
- Mauricio Gomez (straight red) — Inca Aruba
- David Leon (penalty) — Alianza FC
Model Context
Match prediction context
Draw likelihood
27% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 279 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 279 completed matches.
1X2
40% (Weak)
Both teams to score
53% (Average)
Total 1.5
75% (Strong)
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
Total 3.5
29% (Weak)
Total 4.5
14% (Weak)
Teams
Same outcome shares for past finished league games that involved either of these teams (90-minute score).
Based on 51 past matches
1X2
35% (Weak)
Both teams to score
49% (Average)
Total 1.5
73% (Strong)
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
Total 3.5
27% (Weak)
Total 4.5
18% (Weak)