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El Salvador · Primera Division · Apertura

26 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

CD AGUILA vs FIRPO

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: CD Aguila

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nelson Diaz — Firpo
  2. ⚽ Federico Andrada — CD Aguila

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 98 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 324 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 111 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
99 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
194 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
297 predictions

Match overview