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El Salvador · Primera Division · Apertura

26 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

FUERTE SAN FRANCISCO vs CD PLATENSE MUNICIPAL

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: CD Platense Municipal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vinicius Santana — Fuerte San Francisco

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Bogota — CD Platense Municipal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Fuerte San Francisco
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 75 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 324 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
225 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
167 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
194 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
297 predictions

Match overview