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Uruguay · Segunda Division

27 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

PAYSANDU vs ORIENTAL

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Oriental
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
276 predictions

Match preview