← Back to matches

Uruguay · Segunda Division

26 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

FENIX vs ATENAS

Final 1:0

Fenix won Last goal: Fenix

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian De Marco — Fenix

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Fenix
90-minute result: Fenix
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
167 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
200 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
250 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
276 predictions

Match overview