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Uruguay · Segunda Division

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

TACUAREMBO FC vs PLAZA COLONIA

Final 0:2

Plaza Colonia won Last goal: Plaza Colonia

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Pablo Adorno — Plaza Colonia
  2. ⚽ Nicolas Gonzalez — Plaza Colonia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Plaza Colonia
90-minute result: Plaza Colonia
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
166 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
274 predictions

Match overview