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Uruguay · Segunda Division

26 Jul 2026 22:30 UTC

MIRAMAR MISIONES vs LA LUZ

Final 0:1

La Luz won Last goal: La Luz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Federico Rodríguez — La Luz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: La Luz
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 87 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 294 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
90 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
127 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
200 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
250 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
276 predictions

Match overview