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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Clausura

27 Jul 2026 01:15 UTC

ONCE CALDAS vs CUCUTA

Final 5:1

Once Caldas won Last goal: Once Caldas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jefry Zapata — Once Caldas
  2. ⚽ Andrés Roa — Once Caldas
  3. ⚽ Michael Barrios — Once Caldas
  4. ⚽ Lucas Ríos — Cucuta

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mateo Zuleta — Once Caldas
  2. ⚽ Dayro Moreno — Once Caldas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Once Caldas
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
17%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 173 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 446 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 518 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
171 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
290 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
187 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
331 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
435 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
490 predictions

Match overview