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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Clausura

26 Jul 2026 01:15 UTC

TOLIMA vs JUNIOR FC

Final 2:1

Tolima won Last goal: Junior FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jorge Hurtado — Tolima
  2. ⚽ Kelvin Flórez — Tolima

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guillermo Paiva — Junior FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Tolima
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 171 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 442 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 518 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 123 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
171 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
228 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
331 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
331 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
435 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
490 predictions

Match overview