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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Clausura

25 Jul 2026 21:05 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN vs DEPORTIVO PASTO

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Independiente Medellin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jhan Mena — Independiente Medellin
  2. ⚽ Santiago Cordoba — Deportivo Pasto
  3. ⚽ Hayen Palacios — Independiente Medellin
  4. ⚽ Joider Micolta — Deportivo Pasto

2nd half

  1. ⚽ John Montano — Independiente Medellin

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 170 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 440 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 519 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 104 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
172 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
229 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
332 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
332 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
436 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
491 predictions

Match preview