← Back to matches

Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Clausura

26 Jul 2026 21:05 UTC

AGUILAS DORADAS vs SANTA FE

Final 2:1

Aguilas Doradas won Last goal: Aguilas Doradas

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andrés Ricaurte — Aguilas Doradas
  2. ⚽ Nahuel Lautaro Bustos (penalty) — Santa Fe
  3. ⚽ Frank Lozano — Aguilas Doradas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aguilas Doradas
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 171 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 442 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 520 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 108 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
172 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
230 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
333 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
332 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
436 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
491 predictions

Match overview