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USA · NWSL

27 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

ANGEL CITY FC vs RACING LOUISVILLE

Final 1:2

Racing Louisville won Last goal: Angel City FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maja Lardner — Racing Louisville

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Maja Lardner — Racing Louisville
  2. ⚽ Sveindis Jane Jonsdottir — Angel City FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Angel City FC
90-minute result: Racing Louisville
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 240 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 272 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview