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USA · NWSL

25 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

ORLANDO PRIDE vs CHICAGO STARS

Final 1:0

Orlando Pride won Last goal: Orlando Pride

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Julie Doyle — Orlando Pride

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Orlando Pride
90-minute result: Orlando Pride
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 234 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 272 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
165 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview