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USA · NWSL

25 Jul 2026 23:45 UTC

NORTH CAROLINA COURAGE vs UTAH ROYALS

Final 1:4

Utah Royals won Last goal: Utah Royals

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kate Del Fava — Utah Royals
  2. ⚽ Tatumn Milazzo — Utah Royals

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Evelyn Ijeh — North Carolina Courage
  2. ⚽ Mina Tanaka — Utah Royals
  3. ⚽ Cloé Lacasse (penalty) — Utah Royals

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Utah Royals
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 234 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 272 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
243 predictions

Match overview