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Brazil · Serie B

26 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

AMERICA MG vs GOIAS

Final 1:0

America MG won Last goal: America MG

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Paulo Victor — America MG

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: America MG
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 194 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 442 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 521 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 103 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
197 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
227 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
309 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
129 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
510 predictions

Match overview