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Brazil · Serie B

28 Jul 2026 22:30 UTC

PONTE PRETA vs ATHLETIC CLUB

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Strong
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 197 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 449 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 528 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
200 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
297 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
395 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
480 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
517 predictions

Match preview