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Brazil · Serie B

27 Jul 2026 22:30 UTC

SPORT RECIFE vs CUIABA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Cuiaba

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Perotti — Sport Recife
  2. ⚽ Fabio Gomes — Cuiaba

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 195 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 446 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 525 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
198 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
229 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
311 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
514 predictions

Match overview