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Brazil · Serie B

26 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

SAO BERNARDO vs CEARA

Final 3:4

Ceara won Last goal: Ceara

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Helder Maciel — Sao Bernardo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicolas Ferreira — Ceara
  2. ⚽ Hugo Sanches — Sao Bernardo
  3. ⚽ Vina — Ceara
  4. ⚽ Joao Gabriel — Ceara
  5. ⚽ Pedrinho — Sao Bernardo
  6. 🟥 Lucas Santos (straight red) — Sao Bernardo
  7. ⚽ Enzo Lodovico — Ceara

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Ceara
90-minute result: Ceara
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
21%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 442 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 521 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 28 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 21% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
324 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
227 predictions
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
309 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
129 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
510 predictions

Match overview