← Back to matches

Lithuania · A Lyga

26 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

BANGA GARGZDAI vs FK PANEVEZYS

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
FK Panevezys
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
7%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 257 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 99 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
178 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match preview