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Lithuania · A Lyga

24 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

FA SIAULIAI vs HEGELMANN

Final 0:2

Hegelmann won Last goal: Hegelmann

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vilius Armanavicius (penalty) — Hegelmann
  2. ⚽ Wesley — Hegelmann

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Lazar Vukovic (straight red) — FA Siauliai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Hegelmann
90-minute result: Hegelmann
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 256 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
236 predictions

Match overview