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Lithuania · A Lyga

19 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

ZALGIRIS VILNIUS vs FK TRANSINVEST

Final 3:1

Zalgiris Vilnius won Last goal: FK TransINVEST

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stanislav Bilenkyi — Zalgiris Vilnius
  2. ⚽ Nikola Petkovic — Zalgiris Vilnius

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nikola Petkovic — Zalgiris Vilnius
  2. ⚽ Stefan Milosevic — FK TransINVEST
  3. 🟥 Stanislav Bilenkyi (straight red) — Zalgiris Vilnius

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Zalgiris Vilnius
90-minute result: Zalgiris Vilnius
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 211 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 253 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
175 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
178 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match overview