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Switzerland · Super League

26 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC

FC ST. GALLEN vs FC ZUERICH

Final 2:1

FC St. Gallen won Last goal: FC St. Gallen

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Emmanuel Umeh — FC Zuerich
  2. ⚽ Lukas Görtler — FC St. Gallen
  3. ⚽ Andrin Hunziker — FC St. Gallen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
FC Zuerich
90-minute result: FC St. Gallen
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 275 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
199 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 7% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
230 predictions

Match overview