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Switzerland · Super League · Super League Championship Group

17 May 2026 14:30 UTC

BSC YOUNG BOYS vs FC SION

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: FC Sion

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Donat Rrudhani (penalty) — FC Sion
  2. Dominik Pech — BSC Young Boys

2nd half

  1. Samuel Essende — BSC Young Boys
  2. Winsley Boteli — FC Sion
  3. Alan Virginius — BSC Young Boys
  4. Liam Chipperfield — FC Sion

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
12%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
162 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
195 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview