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Switzerland · Super League

26 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC

FC LUGANO vs FC VADUZ

Final 2:1

FC Lugano won Last goal: FC Vaduz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Antonios Papadopoulos — FC Lugano
  2. ⚽ Lukas Mai — FC Lugano

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lutfi Dalipi — FC Vaduz
  2. 🟥 Leon Schaffran (straight red) — FC Vaduz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Lugano
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 228 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 275 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
180 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
230 predictions

Match overview