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Switzerland · Super League · Super League Championship Group

17 May 2026 14:30 UTC

FC LUGANO vs FC BASEL 1893

Final 4:0

FC Lugano won Last goal: FC Lugano

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Behrens — FC Lugano
  2. ⚽ Kevin Behrens — FC Lugano

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Renato Steffen — FC Lugano
  2. ⚽ Georgios Koutsias — FC Lugano

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
FC Lugano
90-minute result: FC Lugano
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
162 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 4% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
151 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview