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Finland · Veikkausliiga

26 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

ILVES vs FC LAHTI

Final 1:0

Ilves won Last goal: Ilves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jardell Kanga — Ilves

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FC Lahti
90-minute result: Ilves
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 221 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 272 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
192 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
162 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
211 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
240 predictions

Match overview