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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

26 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

FC SEOUL vs ULSAN HD FC

Final 1:3

Ulsan HD FC won Last goal: Ulsan HD FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Erick Farias — Ulsan HD FC
  2. ⚽ Dong-Gyeong Lee — Ulsan HD FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Seung-Won Jung — FC Seoul
  2. ⚽ Yago Cariello — Ulsan HD FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FC Seoul
90-minute result: Ulsan HD FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 303 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 97 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
267 predictions

Match overview