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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

26 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

INCHEON UNITED vs BUCHEON FC 1995

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Incheon United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Ibiza (own goal) — Bucheon FC 1995

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Morgan Ferrier — Incheon United
  2. 🟥 Ji-Ho Han (2nd yellow) — Bucheon FC 1995

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Incheon United
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 79 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 303 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
162 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
267 predictions

Match overview